Interests: Politics, Government, Media, Transportation, Space, Social Media, Civic Engagement, Washington, DC Following: The Obama Presidency, Decision 2012, The 112th Congress Work: myImpact.org- a non-profit working at the intersection of social media & citizen engagement

 

The Evening Report for Wednesday December 14 

20 DAYS UNTIL IOWA

50 HOURS UNTIL A GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN

TOP STORY: Brinkmanship by both parties on Capitol Hill has set the federal government up for a potential shutdown effective Saturday morning after the Senate today rejected a House passed payroll tax bill, which also includes a provision speeding implementation of the controversial Keystone XL Pipeline.

This evening, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid went to the White House to meet with President Obama and then return to the Capitol to sit down with Republican leaders John Boehner and Mitch McConnell. This is at least the third time this year that the government has come within two days of a potential shutdown and, both times, a shutdown was avoided.

Conventional wisdom on the Hill remains that Congress will pass some sort of a continuing resolution before midnight on Friday, however, with only 50 hours remaining, nothing is certain.

TONIGHT’S DEVELOPMENT: Numerous reports say that Democrats are prepared to drop their proposal for a millionaire surtax to pay for extension of the payroll tax, a sign that with the impending holiday recess, the parties may be moving closer to a deal.

The Washington Post reports tonight:

“Taken together, the developments signaled the end game for a year of divided government — with a tea party-flavored majority in the House and Obama’s allies in the Senate — that has veered from near-catastrophe to last-minute compromise repeatedly since last January.

The rhetoric was biting at times.

“We have fiddled all year long, all year,” McConnell complained in a less-than-harmonious exchange on the Senate floor with Reid. He accused Democrats of “routinely setting up votes designed to divide us … to give the president a talking point out on the campaign trail.”

Reid shot back that McConnell had long ago declared Obama’s defeat to be his top priority. And he warned that unless Republicans show a willingness to bend, the country faces a government shutdown “that will be just as unpopular” as the two that occurred when Newt Gingrich was House speaker more than a decade ago.

It was a reminder — as if McConnell and current Speaker John Boehner of Ohio needed one — of the political debacle that ensued for Republicans when Gingrich was outmaneuvered in a showdown with former President Bill Clinton.”

GOVERNMENT PREPARES FOR POTENTIAL SHUTDOWN- The Washington Post’s Ed O’Keefe-

“Cabinet secretaries and agency heads planned to send an e-mail message to workers by close of business Wednesday informing them that a shutdown could occur, according to multiple administration officials familiar with the plans.

A shutdown would not apply to a wide swath of agencies and departments that already have full-year funding in place thanks to a partial spending bill that passed in November, including the departments of Agriculture, Commerce, House and Urban Development, Justice, State, and Transportation, NASA, and other smaller agencies covered by separate appropriations measures.

In a statement, Office of Management and Budget spokesman Kenneth Baer said Wednesday that “There is no reason for the government to shut down.”Congress could act quickly to pass a short- or long-term spending measure, Baer said, as they have seven times already this year.”

PRESIDENT OBAMA made his first trip as President to FORT BRAGG NORTH CAROLINA today, speaking to soldiers who have deployed to Iraq

WALL STREET TODAY- from CNBC- “Worries over European debt again plagued Wall Street, sending stocks down at the close for a third straight day in a selloff that also hit commodities and energy stocks hard.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 and Dow industrials lost about 1 percent each, with energy down nearly 3 percent. All 10 S&P 500 sectors were negative with materials and industrials also getting hammered. Financials and health care were closest to positive territory.”

  • DOW down 131
  • NASDAQ down 40
  • S&P 500 down 14

CAMPAIGN 2012:

QUOTE OF THE DAY- Romney interview with the New York Times-

    “Zany is not what we need in a president.”

    “Zany is great in a campaign. It’s great on talk radio. It’s great in print, it makes for fun reading. But in terms of a president, we need a leader, and a leader needs to be someone who can bring Americans together.

In IOWA tonight, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee did not give any clues as to which candidate he might be leaning towards endorsing, or even if he will endorse before the Caucus on January 3rd. Huckabee hosted the screening of a conservative film- “The Gift of Life”- in Des Moines attended by four presidential candidates- Santorum, Perry, Bachmann & Gingrich- tonight.

ROMNEY ATTACKS GINGRICH- in interview with CBS News-

    “[I was] frankly, very surprised that he would attack conservatism, he would attack free enterprise, he would attack capitalism. This is a party that believes in free enterprise.”

    Q: Is he in the wrong party?

    “Well, it depends on the day. I just think hes been unreliable in his support of conservative principles.”

ALSO

“Newt Gingrich has wealth from having worked in government. He’s a wealthy man, a very wealthy man. If you have a half a million dollar purchase from Tiffany’s, you’re not a middle-class American.”

TOMORROW NIGHT is the 13th Republican Presidential Candidates Debate of the 2012 primary- sponsored by FOX News and the Republican Party of Iowa- in Sioux City, Iowa.

THE EVENING REPORT will publish a special POST-DEBATE edition tomorrow night.

LEADING POLITICO TONIGHT- “Is Newt taking Iowa seriously enough?”- by Jonathan Martin-

“Gingrich’s return from the political grave has been premised on disregarding the practice of politics as usual, and he now seems to be betting that he can bypass the traditional, retail-focused path to victory in Iowa and still win. Asked if he was endangering his Iowa prospects, Gingrich acknowledged he was taking intense fire but said he’d ramp up his effort before January 3rd.

“I think Iowa’s going to be a challenge because you have everybody firing away simultaneously in a relatively small market,” the former speaker told reporters following his lecture here at the University of Iowa. “And so I think it’s going to require two weeks of my going around, telling the truth, letting people look at the negative ad, look at the truth and decide if they really want to give their vote to somebody who’s not telling the truth.”

Gingrich promised to do more retail events – he teased a post-Christmas bus tour – and said he’d do more ads.

But he also offered a mix of nonchalance and high-road confidence in explaining that he didn’t have enough money to match his rivals’ ad campaign and, in any event, wasn’t inclined to engage in traditional back-and-forth on the airwaves.”

REUTERS/IPSOS POLL HAS GINGRICH UP BY 10

  • GINGRICH 28
  • ROMNEY 18
  • PAUL 12
  • PERRY 12
  • BACHMANN 10
  • HUNTSMAN 5
  • SANTORUM 4

GALLUP TRACKING HAS GINGRICH UP BY 8

  • GINGRICH 31
  • ROMNEY 23
  • PAUL 9
  • BACHMANN 6
  • SANTORUM 4
  • HUNTSMAN 2

GENERAL ELECTION MASHUPS

OBAMA V. ROMNEY (USA TODAY) OBAMA: 47%, ROMNEY 46%
OBAMA V. GINGRICH (USA TODAY): OBAMA: 50% ROMNEY 44%

OBAMA V. ROMNEY (NBC/WSJ): OBAMA 47% ROMNEY 45%
OBAMA V GINGRICH (NBC/WSJ): OBAMA 51% GINGRICH 40%

OBAMA V ROMNEY (REUTERS) OBAMA 48% ROMNEY 40%
OBAMA V GINGRICH (REUTERS) OBAMA 51% GINGRICH 38%

FINALLY...

BRIAN WILLIAMS INTERVIEWS MARCEL THE SHELL. If you haven’t yet seen the video from Monday Night’s ROCK CENTER, America #1 evening newsman traveled to Brooklyn to interview the Mama and Papa of this Internet sensation

“Marcel has plenty of spunk, which he brought to his interview with Williams. When asked if having just one eye has affected him in any way, Marcel returned, “Has having one nose affected you in any way, Brian?”

The conversation made Williams chortle. He even hinted that he and his colleagues could learn a thing or two from Marcel. “A lot of network primetime shows would kill for 14 million plus viewers,” Williams said. “When the second installment hit the web, it had more viewers by its first night than a lot of popular cable news shows and it’s already up to three million.”

“Rock Center” debuted in November with 4.1 million total viewers.”


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The Evening Report for Tuesday November 29 2011

35 DAYS UNTIL IOWA

TOP STORY: Iranian protestors today stormed the British embassy in Tehran, causing serious damage and replacing the British flag from atop the diplomatic post.

Tonight, British Prime Minister David Cameron is warning of “serious consequences” after the “outrageous and indefensible” attack. As the BBC reports:

“Mr Cameron said the failure of the Iranian government to defend British staff and property was “a disgrace”.

He said all British staff and their dependents had been accounted for and he praised Britain’s ambassador to Iran, Dominick Chilcott, for handling a “dangerous situation with calm and professionalism”.

“The Iranian government must recognise that there will be serious consequences for failing to protect our staff. We will consider what these measures should be in the coming days,” he added.

US President Barack Obama said he was “deeply disturbed” by the attack.

“That kind of behaviour is not acceptable, and I strongly urge the Iranian government to hold those who are responsible to task,” he said.

Germany, France and the EU also condemned the attack.”

But still tonight, it is not known what the consequences that Cameron talked about today will amount to beyond the continued international pressure and economic sanctions imposed on the country.

CAMPAIGN 2012

HUNTSMAN OUT OF DEBATES?- The Des Moines Register reports that former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman may fail to qualify for participating in the final two debates before the January 3rd Iowa Caucus. Huntsman has until Monday to reach 5% in a major national poll, a threshold that he has not yet reached, in order to qualify for a December 10th debate sponsored by ABC News and the Iowa Republican Party. FOX News, the sponsor of the final debate on Thursday December 15th, hasn’t yet released its qualification criteria. The Register says it is likely that only seven candidates- Bachmann, Cain, Gingrich, Perry, Romney, Santorum & Paul- will qualify.

HERMAN CAIN  “REASSESSING” CANDIDACY- ABC News was first to report this afternoon that, in the wake of Monday’s revelations about Cain’s 13-year affair, the one-time GOP frontrunner is reassessing his path forward in the race, indicating it is possible Cain might drop out before voting officially begins and potentially before the final debates. Cain has spent the day holding conference calls with donors and supporters to gauge the landscape for his continued candidacy. Unlike when allegations of sexual harassment broke last month, many prominent social conservatives are not yet coming to Cain’s defense.

LOOKAHEAD: Due to ballot access laws, Cain’s name would likely remain on ballots in the early primary states in which he has already qualified, even if he exits the race, which could potentially lead to a situation where Cain earns Republican delegates at next summer’s national convention, due to the proportional manner in which the Republican Party is dividing early state delegates.

RICK PERRY HAS ANOTHER OOPS MOMENT: From the AP:

“You might say Rick Perry courted the youth, but not the whole youth, in a campaign appearance at a New Hampshire college.

Speaking at Saint Anselm on Tuesday, he appealed to students who will be at least 21 before Election Day to vote for him.

As for those younger than 21, he merely asked them to work hard on his behalf. Doesn’t he want their votes, too?

It turns out Perry didn’t know or had forgotten that the voting age in America is 18.”

Perry also forgot the date of the 2012 election- saying voting was on November 12th, not November 6th.

WATCH THE VIDEO

OBAMA FOR AMERICA has launched their first television ads, a duo airing on satellite television in select markets which is meant, campaign officials say, solely as a trial.

WATCH a 30 second ad encouraging supporters to sign up to volunteer for the campaign

WATCH “It starts with one person, making a difference”- another attempt at campaign volunteer recruitment

GALLUP has a new poll measuring “positive intensity” - essentially how enthusiastic and supportive respondents are about a particular candidate- out today. The survey finds Newt Gingrich at a high for GOP candidates this cycle, at 20, tied with what Romney was at in April. Romney, meanwhile, has fallen to his lowest intensity ranking of the cycle, at just 9%

WALL STREET: Developments in Europe continued to weigh on the markets, which finished mixed on the day

  • DOW up 33
  • NASDAQ down 12
  • S&P 500 up 3

AMERICAN AIRLINES FILES FOR CHAPTER 11 BANKRUPTCY PROTECTION: Statement from the airline, in part, “We took this action in order to achieve a cost and debt structure that is industry competitive and thereby assure our long-term viability and ability to continue delivering a world-class travel experience for customers. American Airlines and American Eagle are operating normal flight schedules, and our reservations, customer service, AAdvantage program, Admirals Clubs and all other operations are conducting business as usual”

HISTORY OF OTHER AIRLINES FILING FOR CHAPTER 11:

  • Frontier- April 10, 2008
  • Delta & Northwest (later acquired by Delta)- September 14, 2005
  • US Airways- September 12, 2004
  • US Airways- August 11, 2002
  • United- December 09, 2002
  • Pan Am Airways- January 08, 1991

S&P today announced it was downgrading the credit rating of major US banks, including Bank of America, JP Morgan Chase, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo, and other institutions.

From AP:

“S&P said the changes in 37 financial companies’ ratings reflect the firm’s new criteria for banks, and they incorporate shifts in the industry and the role of governments and central banks worldwide. The agency did not release its evaluation of each company but said it plans to discuss the changes during a conference call early Wednesday.

Bank of America’s issuer credit rating was cut to “A” from “A+,” while its Countrywide Financial Corp. and Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. units and a series of related subsidiaries were cut to “A-” from “A.”

FINALLY...just seconds into the East Coast broadcast of NBC Nightly News with Brian Williams tonight, a fire alarm sounded in the studio, interrupting the lead-in to the first report, on American Airline’s bankruptcy. Williams handled it, “like a pro,” as Mediaite said when it posted video of the interruption

THE EVENING REPORT is finally ready to begin building our subscription list, after nearly three months of trial with a select handful of recipients. As of today, we are soft-launching a subscription page at www.eveningemail.com and launching our social media platforms on Facebook and Twitter.

The Evening Report for Monday October 31

Happy Halloween!

PREMIERING TONIGHT: “Rock Center” with Brian Williams- the network’s new primetime new magazine hosted by the anchor of the top-ranked evening news broadcast.

TOP STORY: It was a bad day for Herman Cain. As POLITICO first reported last night, the Republican presidential frontrunner is facing charges of sexual harassment that stem from his time as head of the National Restaurant Association. As chance would have it, Cain was in Washington today, where he was trailed by beltway political reporters. This morning, Cain spoke at the conservative American Enterprise Institute and at 12:30 he delivered a luncheon address at the National Press Club. In between, he went on FOX News for an interview and later this afternoon was interviewed by PBS’s Judy Woodruff for the Newshour tonight.

As POLITICO’s Alex Burns reports tonight, Cain’s day was filled with conflicting stories and carefully worded statements:

“Cain told the PBS “NewsHour” that he recalled a financial “agreement” with a woman who accused him of inappropriate behavior at the National Restaurant Association.

Only hours before, Cain said he was unaware of any “settlement” related to sexual harassment – a reversal he attempted to explain away through verbal hair-splitting.

“I was aware that an agreement was reached. The word ‘settlement’ versus the word ‘agreement’ you know, I’m not sure what they called it. I know that there was some sort of agreement, but because it ended up being minimal, they didn’t have to bring it to me. My general counsel and the head of human resources had the authority to resolve this thing,” Cain said.”

WHERE THIS LEAVES THE CAMPAIGN: This is the kind of story that just isn’t going to away for Cain. The media is looking into every aspect of this story..and it hardly matters that it may be 15 years old. Cain is not helping his cause by seemingly changing the story by the hour- such inconsistencies make him appear to be a candidate who is confused and on the defensive. The person who might gain the most from what is turning into the political story of the week? Mitt Romney. For every day before voting begins that the attention is on somebody other than Romney, the better for Romney’s chances- and for the air of inevitability around him.

RICK PERRY also had a bad day. This video (and other variations and spoofs) is making its way around the Internet. It shows Perry in New Hampshire delivering a speech over the weekend. He appears more animated than usual, very lively behind the podium with frequent gesticulations, almost as if he is intoxicated. It’s too early to know what this video may mean for the campaign- if anything- but it did get airtime on the evening news tonight

JUST IN- Connecticut has been declared a Federal Disaster Area, per an order signed by President Obama this evening. It makes aid available for state and local governments in response to the weekend’s unusual but devastating October snow storm. Over half of Connecticut Light and Power customers remain without electricity tonight and many jurisdictions issued emergency orders postponing Halloween festivities, including trick-or-treating, tonight. It could be a week or longer before power is restored.

GREECE’S Prime Minister, George Papandreou, announced today that his nation will hold a referendum on a bailout proposal once details are finalized with the European Union. Protests have continued in Greece since the framework for a deal was announced last week and it is unclear if a no-confidence vote like what Papandreou is proposing would pass.

WALL STREET: News from overseas was felt on Wall Street again today and markets finished near their lows for the session.

  • DOW down 276
  • NASDAQ down 53
  • S&P 500 down 32

PRESIDENT OBAMA underwent a physical exam today (his second since taking office) and the White House reported the President’s medical report, which found him in “excellent health” and “fit for duty”

“All clinical data indicate he will remain so for the duration of his Presidency. The president is current on all age-appropriate screening tests. He is ‘fit at fifty’ and “staying health at 50+” the report says. It also reported a “well healed lower lip laceration.” Benign skin tags were removed from the President’s neck.

THE PRESIDENT weighs 181.3 pounds.

UNESCO- the United Nations Education, Scientific and Cultural Affairs Organization- most well-known for the UNESCO World Heritage Sites- today voted to permit the Palestinian Authority to have full membership in its body- a move that prompted the United States to announce that it would pull its funding for UNESCO, per standing US law. The United States supports UNESCO with about 22% of its budget- $80 million a year.

As the Associated Press reports:

“The prohibition on U.S. funding of U.N. agencies that recognize a Palestinian state was included in two pieces of legislation that were signed into law by President George H.W. Bush in 1990 and President Bill Clinton in 1994.

The 1990 law prohibits the appropriation of funds “for the United Nations or any specialized agency thereof which accords the Palestine Liberation Organization the same standing as a member state.”

In 1994, Congress barred funding “any affiliated organization of the United Nations which grants full membership as a state to any organization or group that does not have the internationally recognized attributes of statehood.”

AND FINALLY…Kim Kardashian and Kris Humphries are divorcing, it was announced today. TMZ broke the story and obtained the official divorce documents. The couple have been married since August 20th, “in a lavish ceremony in Montecito, CA. There are reports that the wedding cost as much as $10 mil, which means $138,888 for every day until today,” TMZ reported.

The Golden Report for Monday September 12

POST-DEBATE EDITION

Tonight in Tampa, Florida: the Fifth Republican Presidential Candidates Debate. Candidates Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney & Rick Santorum shared the stage for the two-hour debate which just concluded. 

THE HIGHLIGHTS:

This was RICK PERRY’s debate- to win or lose. And he started the night on home turf- with a favorable Tea Party audience. But the debate quickly turned into a pile-on with nearly all of the other candidates- most especially Romney, Santorum, Bachmann and Huntsman- attacking Perry on his record and past statements. This debate will be remembered because MITT ROMNEY worked his way to come out on top, especially with his answers on the budget and immigration reform. 

MICHELE BACHMANN again struggled to share the stage with the two front-runners but approached this debate with a clear attack strategy: against Perry, not Romney. 

RICK SANTOROUM also got in several one-liners tonight by going after Perry- although he had a fair amount of criticism for Romney as well. Trying to position himself as a choice between Romney and Perry, Santorum showed that he still may be a strong vice-presidential contender or, at the least, a ‘must-get’ surrogate endorsement

JON HUNTSMAN struggled to break through again tonight. His most memorable line might have been an awkward attack on Perry, causing his border security policy “treasonous” 
and the AUDIENCE who last week in California applauded Rick Perry’s record on executions, applauded tonight at a hypothetical question about a 30-year old in a coma without health insurance and whether he should be allowed to die. 

TER’s ORDER OF DEBATE WINNERS: Romney, Perry, Santorum, Gingrich, Bachmann, Huntsman, Cain, Paul

BEFORE THE DEBATE- the big 2012 news of the day: former presidential candidate Tim Pawlenty today endorsed Mitt Romney; while once-rumored candidate Bobby Jindal endorsed Rick Perry. These are the first two major surrogate endorsements of the cycle.

THE REST OF THE DAYS NEWS

LAYOFFS: Bank of America today announced plans for 30,000 employee layoffs over the next several years. It was just last month when the Bank announced a $5 payment from Berkshire Hathaway’s Warren Buffett. The announcement is the largest for a US company this year, surpassing Merck’s planned 13,000 layoffs. 

JOBS: President Obama today formally unveiled the American Jobs Act, a 233-page proposal, in legislative language, built off of his primetime Address to Congress last week. The nearly $450 billion in new spending is paid for by eliminating tax loopholes- including for corporate jet owners- and limiting tax deductions, including those for charitable contributions and home mortgage payments 

ON WALL STREET: The Dow ended the day above 11,000 again, up 68.99 points to 11,061. The NASDAQ was up 27 points and the S&P 500 closed the first trading day of the new week up 8 points.

IN FRANCE: An explosion at the Marcole Nuclear Site today is being called a “an industrial accident, not a nuclear accident” by company officials. One person was killed and four were injured in the explosion, which is currently under investigation but that did not, according to government officials, leak radiation

NEED THE KNOW TOMORROW: Inside-the-beltway political junkies will be tuned into two special House elections- in New York’s 9th Congressional District and Nevada’s 2nd District. In New York, the seat once held by resigned Congressman Anthony Weiner was thought to be safely Democratic, but recently polling shows an extremely competitive race. Republicans are now expected to pick-up that seat and in the Nevada race for the seat once held by now Senator Dean Heller, who was appointed to fill the remainder of Sen. John Ensign’s term. Ensign resigned in disgrace in May.

AND FINALLY: NBC Universal announced the name of a new once-weekly primetime news magazine to be anchored by NBC Nightly News Anchor Brian Williams. “Rock Center with Brian Williams” will debut later this fall and feature talent and reporting from the news devision of NBC.

NBC's Brian Williams on Preparing for Presidential Debates

Williams will co-moderate, with POLITICO’s John Harris, tonight’s Republican Presidential Candidates Debate from the Ronald Reagan Library in Simi Valley, CA. 9pm EDT.