The Golden Report

SPECIAL POST-DEBATE EDITION
The Eighth Republican Presidential Candidates Debate just concluded from Las Vegas, Nevada. It was the third debate hosted by CNN, the first moderated by Anderson Cooper, and the second to take place in the Pacific Time Zone. It also was the most consequential debate thus far and a game-changer in the Republican primary race.

THE HEADLINE, in THREE PARTS: Cain falls, Perry and Romney attack, Santorum rises

 
PART ONE: Herman Cain, whose campaign has been on a meteoric rise for the past two weeks, started this debate with the first question from the audience about his 9-9-9 economic plan. Quickly, the plan was attacked by second and third tier candidates Rick Santorum and Michele Bachmann, and then by Rick Perry and Newt Gingrich. In his folksy Texas tone, Perry even said “It’s just not going to work, brother,” to Cain. For much of the rest of the debate, Cain was silent- answering questions when they were posed to him- but not bringing up any new attacks or showing very much concern in defending his candidacy. The Cain bubble has now burst. 

PART TWO: Rick Perry had his best debate performance to date, although he continued to stumble on questions of immigration (clearly his largest vulnerability). In his first question, he declined an invitation by moderator Anderson Cooper to attack Romney. A few minutes later, in a question on the economy, Perry, himself, introduced immigration..as he tried to set up an attack on Romney, reviving an allegation first used in the campaign four years ago that Romney’s family hired illegal immigrants as landscapers on their property. There were several exchanges between Romney and Perry tonight, and in every one it was clear that Romney took the higher road. Romney was well-prepped and demonstrated that he is a skillful debater, and that was clearly communicated in his actions tonight.

PART THREE: After last week’s debate, we discussed how impressed we were with Rick Santorum, and we saw a potential opening for him in the future of the campaign. After this week’s debate, we see this as even more the case. Santorum increased his attacks- on both Romney and Perry- tonight, becoming the only other candidate to take on the two front-runners directly. He appealed to social conservatives by discussing his credentials as the family values candidate. And he made the case that he was well prepared to take on Barack Obama because he was a conservative Republican who defeated a liberal Democrat in a swing state. Santorum’s candidacy is on the rise- and with Cain’s fall there is now an opening for him- if he can embrace it. Watch to see if Santorum can effectively communicate in mediums beyond the debate stage- fundraising, organization, media, advertising- and put it all together in a state like Iowa, where he could have a good chance at winning. 

THE EVENING REPORT CANDIDATE RANKINGS: Mitt Romney, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Herman Cain 
*Note: We placed Perry second not because he had a stellar debate by himself..but that compared with his previous debate performances he was significantly improved

WHERE WE GO FROM HERE:

The next televised debate is scheduled for WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 09, three weeks from tomorrow. It will be the longest stretch without a debate since the early summer. It will be an important time for the candidates to focus their attention on fundraising, finalizing their strategies for the early states, and beefing up their credentials in areas of weakness - many exposed during this near-weekly series of debates held since Labor Day. Watch to see where the candidates spend their time, how they respond to world events (including, importantly, the growing Occupy Wall Street movements), what their media strategy is for staying relevant and in the public’s attention, and how quickly they go up on the air with paid television advertising- the next milestone that we’ll cross in the 2012 race. 

THE OTHER TOP STORIES TODAY:

Israel finalized a prisoner-swap with Hamas for the release of Pvt. Gilad Shalit, held for the last five years by the Palestinian group.

President Obama was on the second of a three day bus tour through North Carolina and Virginia. Today he spoke at Guilford Technical Community College in Jamestone, NC and later in Greensville County, NC. He was interviewed by ABC’s Jake Tapper (airing on Nightline tonight).

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton made an unannounced visit to Libya today and met with rebel leaders. This came after key advances by rebel forces in Gadaffi’s hometown of Sirte over the weekend. 

The White House announced that President Obama will sign the three free trade agreements passed by Congress last week in The Rose Garden on Friday.

ON WALL STREET:
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S&P 500 up 25