Interests: Politics, Government, Media, Transportation, Space, Social Media, Civic Engagement, Washington, DC Following: The Obama Presidency, Decision 2012, The 112th Congress Work: myImpact.org- a non-profit working at the intersection of social media & citizen engagement

 

The Evening Report for Wednesday November 16, 2011

TOP STORY: The Supercommittee: will they or won’t they reach a deal one week from today when they report back on their deficit reduction proposal, as they are required to by law?

There have been conflicting reports throughout the day today as to whether the Committee will come up short or will reach a bi-partisan agreement. Today, the Committee announced that they will hold a public “mark-up” session next week, which will be an opportunity for each of the 12 members of the bi-partisan, bicameral panel to make public statements to voice their opinions on different pieces of the legislation, before they cast a single up or down vote in the middle of next week.

As we get closer to the final deadline for the Supercommittee, smaller issues are going to become big deals. Here’s what National Journal reports tonight is the latest sticking point: health care.

“A dispute broke out between super-committee negotiators on Wednesday over whether other committees can cut health programs in a two-step deficit-reduction process.

The disagreement involved the panel’s possible two-step strategy, which would have committees with tax jurisdiction raising billions from an overhaul of the tax code next year.

Republicans insisted that the committees also have the authority to cut any programs under their jurisdiction, including Medicare and Medicaid. Democrats balked, saying that the second-step committee cuts could come from tax changes only.”

One of the most remarkable traits of the Supercommittee since it was formed in the summer has been its overall secrecy and the ability of its members to be tight-lipped regarding aspects of the negotiations.

Indeed, on a pretty regular basis, each week has seen two types of stories: that the Committee was deadlocked and no where close to reaching a minimal agreement, and that the Committee was going to shock Washington, and the political system as a whole, by “going big” and producing a large deficit reduction grand bargain.

Still tonight, we don’t know which way the Committee is trending as there have been mixed signals for the past several days.

Here’s how POLITICO’s Jake Sherman & Manu Raju wrap up the Supercommittee’s day

“In sum, all the maneuvering seemed to paint a picture of confusion, panic and blame-passing as Congress with approval ratings in the gutter attempts to patch up yet another fiscal mess.

On a day when the national debt surpassed $15 trillion, the six Democrats and six Republicans on the supercommittee met separately in tense closed-door meetings and strategized with congressional leaders. In phone calls and personal meetings, Republicans discussed proposals old and new a half-dozen times — and each side struggled to coalesce around plans that could pass bipartisan muster, or be used to maximize political cover.”

ON THE CAMPAIGN TRAIL TODAY

“Can you believe that? That’s what our president thinks is wrong with America? That Americans are lazy? That’s pathetic.” - Rick Perry

“Sometimes, I just don’t think that President Obama understands America.” - Mitt Romney

These quotes from the Republican presidential candidates come after President Obama was asked a question about foreign investment in the United States at the APEC Summit in Hawaii over the weekend. Here’s what he said:

“I think it’s important to remember that the United States is still the largest recipient of foreign investment in the world. And there are a lot of things that make foreign investors see the U.S. as a great opportunity: our stability, our openness, our innovative free-market culture. But we’ve been a little bit lazy, I think, over the last couple of decades. We’ve kind of taken for granted — well, people will want to come here, and we aren’t out there hungry, selling America and trying to attract new business into America.”

To be fair to the President, his Republican rivals are taking his remark squarely out of context. The President was speaking to a group of business executives and was not referring to the American people specifically. However, the quote is likely to find its way, explicitly or subliminally, into the Republican strategy throughout 2012.

WHITE HOUSE SHOOTING INVESTIGATION: Police in Pennsylvania today arrested a 21 year-old man, Oscar Ramiro Ortega-Hernandez, who is suspected of firing an AK-47 assault rifle in close proximity to the White House late Friday evening.

Yesterday, the Secret Service announced that they had found shell casings and believe that a bullet had grazed a window on the upper level of The White House but they had not yet drawn a definitive link back to Hernandez, who is wanted in Friday’s incident.

As the Washington Post reports:

“Ortega-Hernandez fired shots with an AK-47-style assault rifle about 9:30 p.m. Friday — his 21st birthday — while in a car at 16th Street and Constitution Avenue, police said.

Minutes later, Ortega-Hernandez abandoned the car a short distance away, in the 2300 block of Constitution Avenue, and ran away, police said. They said they found the rifle and an undisclosed number of spent shell casings in the car.”

As for the bullet that was found on the White House property:

“For several days after the shooting, police said they had not found bullet-related damage to structures in the area. On Tuesday morning, however, authorities discovered at least one bullet hole in a window on the side of the White House facing the Ellipse and the Washington Monument, according to the Secret Service.

The bullet had pierced the “historic exterior glass” of the window but was stopped by ballistic glass installed behind the normal glass. “One additional round has been found on the exterior of the White House,” the Secret Service said in a statement.

The official familiar with the investigation said FBI ballistics examiners will seek to determine whether the bullets came from the assault rifle found in the car that Ortega-Hernandez abandoned.

The Secret Service said the damage “has not been conclusively connected to Friday’s incident, and an assessment of the exterior of the White House is ongoing.”

President Obama was not at The White House on Friday and is now in Australia, as part of an Asian-Pacific tour. Today the President announced that 250 Marines will begin to form a US military base in Australia next year, and 2,500 troops will be stationed in the region by 2013.

WALL STREET: In the final hour of trading on Wall Street today, the ratings agency Fitch delivered a report on US bank exposure to Europe that sent the markets sharply lower. The report said, “unless the euro zone debt crisis is resolved in a timely and orderly manner, the broad credit outlook for the U.S. banking industry could worsen.”

  • DOW down 191
  • NASDAQ down 47
  • S&P 500 down 21

ALL EYES ON SYRIA: Violence has intensified in Syria, the worst in the nearly seven months of consistent protest against the government of Bashar Assad, in the last 48-hours and all eyes are now on the region. The question everyone is asking is, “Is Syria next?” meaning the next nation to force its leader from power in the year-long Arab awakening.

Today the Arab League, which voted to kick Syria out over the weekend, issued a deadline for the Syrian government to end its oppression against its people in three days. It is not immediately clear what consequences may come as a result of that order. Many observers, however, say that the situation in Syria is much different that Libya or Egypt- namely that Assad has a greater chance of being toppled from within. 

Here’s analysis from the BBC’s Jon Leyne in Damascus:

“As diplomatic pressure increases on Damascus, the situation on the ground is deteriorating as well.

Last night, soldiers who defected from the Syrian army mounted an attack on an intelligence base north of Damascus. It was the most significant attack so far by defectors and was remarkable for being against such a high-profile target so close to the capital.

More and more clashes are being reported between the regular army and opponents who now call themselves the Free Syrian Army.

That raises the spectre of this turning into a full-scale civil war. “

FINALLY...today Google announced its latest product, a large-scale entry into an already crowded market, with Google Music, at music.google.com. The launch of the Google Music Store, with easy download and integration with the Android platform, sets Google up as a competitor to Apple, which owns the iTunes Music Store which easily syncs with the iPhone and other Apple devices.

From the Associated Press,

“The desktop service is available to all users in the United States right now at music.google.com. The Google Music Android app should be available for all Android smartphones and tablets in the coming days for everyone with Android 2.2 and above. There was no mention of iOS devices like iPhones or iPads, though Google did note that the desktop Google Music Manager is available on Windows, Mac and Linux computers. (Beware, however, as the Google Music Beta was heavily criticized as taking weeks to upload a library worth of songs.)

Google also opened up a Google Music store, similar to iTunes, which the company says will be driven by musical recommendations. There are two kind of recommendations up front in the store: First, recommendations from Google’s “music geeks” about what’s hot on the music scene; and second, a machine-listening recommendation engine, which analyzes your entire collection and suggests which songs and albums the user may enjoy. The Android Market’s new music store is already open.”

The Evening Report for Monday November 14, 2011

HAPPENING NOW: On NBC, the first interview with Former Penn State Assistant Football Coach Gary Sandusky- who agreed to a brief telephone interview with Bob Costas today. The full interview is airing on Rock Center with Brian Williams tonight.

From the conversation:

Sandusky: “I say that I am innocent of those charges.”

Costas: “Are you a pedophile?” 

Sandusky: “No.”

Sandusky: “I could say that I have done some of those things. I have horsed around with kids I have showered after workouts. I have hugged them and I have touched their legs without intent of sexual contact.”

“I shouldn’t have showered with those kids.”

“I enjoy being around children. I enjoy their enthusiasm. I just have a good time with them”

HAPPENING NOW: On ABC, the first interview with Arizona Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords and her husband, astronaut Mark Kelly. The interview, with ABC’s Diane Sawyer, is airing on a special edition of 20/20 tonight. From the interview:

Sawyer: “How do you feel?”

Giffords: “Pretty good.”

Sawyer: “Is it painful?”

Giffords: “It’s difficult, difficult.”

The special will also contain home videos that Mark Kelly made through Gifford’s recovery which show her soon after the shooting at the hospital, and during rehabilitation and speech therapy.

TOP STORY: The Supreme Court of the United States today agreed to hear oral arguments on cases challenging the constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act, President Obama’s signature domestic policy achievement.

With its decision today, the Court is setting itself up to inject its ruling, which could come in the summer of 2012, in the midst of a highly charged political season. Its decision, whether to uphold or strike down the constitutionality of the Act’s individual mandate provision will become a major decision point for voters in the final months of the election. However, there is a possibility that the Court could punt in its ruling and decline to issue a definitive yes or no to the constitutionality question.

NPR’s Nina Totenberg described the Court’s decision today in a report on the broadcast All Things Considered:

“In an apparent effort to be as comprehensive as possible, the court certified four questions for review. First, and most important: Did Congress exceed its constitutional authority in requiring virtually all Americans to have basic health care coverage?

The second: If the individual mandate is unconstitutional, does the rest of the law stand? Even the government now says there would be no way to provide the goodies everyone likes in this law without the expanded pool of people paying into the system.

The third question: Does the law impose unconstitutional conditions on the states by requiring them to pay 5 percent more into Medicaid by 2017 to cover the increased number of people under the program?

And the last question: Is it is premature to decide the first three?”

As if to underline the significance of the case, the court allocated 5 1/2 hours for oral argument, the longest argument in modern times.

Were the court to invalidate the statute in its entirety, it would roll back many of the provisions already benefiting millions of Americans.

FOR BRET- a soon-to-be lawyer…

“The length of the oral argument set by the court for the health care challenge is a recognition of the case’s importance. At 5 1/2 hours, the argument will be the longest in more than 45 years.

Time set aside for argument has changed markedly over the course of American legal history. Before 1849, there was no time limit at all, and counsel would often go on for days. In 1849, the increased caseload caused the justices to set a two-hour limit per side, which was reduced to one hour in 1925, and a half-hour per side in 1970, which is where it remains for most cases today.

But big cases, with many parties and complexities, sometimes get more time. The 1974 Nixon tapes case lasted three hours. Bush v. Gore went 90 minutes. The 1971 Pentagon Papers took two hours; the challenge to the McCain-Feingold campaign finance law in 2003 was four hours.”

DRIVING THE 2012 CAMPAIGN TONIGHT- “Rambling Cain has an ‘Oops’ Moment” by Alexander Burns in POLITICO.

Today, Herman Cain gave an editorial board interview to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, but he gave less than a clear answer on his opinion on the US military operation in Libya. From the transcript:

“OK, Libya. President Obama supported the uprising, correct? President Obama called for the removal of Qadhafi. Just want to make sure we’re talking about the same thing before I say, ‘yes I agree,’ or ‘no I didn’t agree.’ I do not agree with the way he handled it for the following reason – nope, that’s a different one. I gotta go back to, see … Got all this stuff twirling around in my head. Specifically, what are you asking me, did I agree or not disagree with Obama on?”

AND THEN [After the question- on whether Cain supported Pres. Obama’s decision to intervene in Libya-was rephrased and asked again]…

“Here’s what I would have – I would have done a better job of determining who the opposition is and I’m sure that our intelligence people have some of that information. Based upon who made up that opposition, OK, based upon who made up that opposition, might have caused me to make some different decisions about how we participated.

“Secondly, no, I did not agree with Qadhafi killing his citizens. Absolutely not. So something would have had to been – I would have supported many of the things they did in order to help stop that. It’s not a simple yes-no, because there are different pieces and I would have gone about assessing the situation differently, which might have caused us to end up in the same place. But where I think more could have been done was, what’s the nature of the opposition?”

It’s a rambling response, for sure. Watch the full video:

THE LATEST POLLS- out today-

POLITICO/Battleground States:

  • Cain 27%
  • Romney 25%
  • Gingrich 14%
  • Perry 14%
  • Paul 5%
  • Santorum 2%
  • Bachmann 2%

OBAMA 41%, GENERIC REPUBLICAN, 41%, Undecided 13%

CNN Poll (with difference from October):

  • Romney 24% (-2%)
  • Gingrich 22% (+14%)
  • Cain 14% (-11%)
  • Perry 12% (-1%)
  • Paul 8% (-1%)
  • Bachmann 6% (-)
  • Huntsman 3% (+2%)
  • Santorum 3% (+1%)

The big story coming out of the CNN poll is the surge in support for former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who has now eclipsed Herman Cain and is statistically-tied with Mitt Romney for front-runner status.

WALL STREET

  • Dow down 75
  • Nasdaq down 22
  • S&P 500 down 12

DRIVING WASHINGTON TONIGHT: “Supercommittee could punt on tough calls” as Manu Raju & Jake Sherman write tonight in POLITICO

“There’s increasing talk of punting some of the toughest issues to the congressional committees charged with doing this job in the first place. That could mean giving the House Ways and Means and Senate Finance panels an order to come up with a specific amount of savings and a broad directive to rewrite the Tax Code.

This potential abdication of power from a special committee that was granted sweeping authority to tackle the staggering deficit shows just how badly gridlocked Congress remains.

To some, it sounds like the supercommittee is trying to figure out how to maximize political cover if it fails — a far cry from the mandate to achieve major deficit reductions where the rest of Congress has fallen short.

PRESIDENT OBAMA departs Hawaii in a few hours en route to Australia, where he will be on a State Visit as part of a 9-day Asian-Pacific tour

FINALLY…Brad Pitt today announced that he would be retiring from acting when he turns 50, in 3 years. In an interview with an Australian news program, Pitt hinted at what may be next:

“I am really enjoying the producing side and development of stories and putting those pieces together … getting stories to the plate that might have had a tougher time otherwise.

“You know, I don’t know that we’re finished” adopting or conceiving more tots with Angelina Jolie. “Those late nights are so fun when one of them’s up or those mornings when they get up and make pancakes or something. That’s what it’s about.”